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Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models with Adjusted Short-Run Dynamics
Cointegration adjusted short-run dynamics parameter change likelihood ratio test
2010/9/8
A family of cointegrated vector autoregressive models with adjusted short-run dynamics is introduced. These models can describe evolving short-run dynamics in a more flexible way than standard vector ...
Forecasting with time-varying vector autoregressive models
time-varying vector autoregressive models
2010/12/13
The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible ...