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AN EMPIRICAL TEST OF RESPONDENT-DRIVEN SAMPLING: POINT ESTIMATES, VARIANCE, DEGREE MEASURES, AND OUT-OF-EQUILIBRIUM DATA
population RESPONDENT-DRIVEN SAMPLING
2015/9/11
This paper, which is the first large scale application of Respondent-Driven
Sampling (RDS) to non-hidden populations, tests three factors related to RDS estimation
against institutional data using...
Point and interval forecasts of age-specific life expectancies: A model averaging approach
Booth-Maindonald-Smith method functional data analysis Hyndman-Ullah method Lee-Carter method Lee-Miller method principal components analysis random walk with drift
2014/11/21
Background: Any improvement in the forecast accuracy of life expectancy would be beneficial for policy decision regarding the allocation of current and future resources. In this paper, I revisit some ...
Point process models for household distributions within small areal units
areal units household distribution point processes simulation spatial demography
2014/11/20
Spatio-demographic data sets are increasingly available worldwide, permitting ever more realistic modeling and analysis of social processes ranging from mobility to disease transmission. The informati...
Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods
mortality rates life expectancy Point
2014/11/20
Using the age- and sex-specific data of 14 developed countries, we compare the point
and interval forecast accuracy and bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates a...
Demographic Transition, Demographic Dividend, and Lewis Turning Point in China
demographic transition demographic Dividend Lewis turning point aging before affluence
2013/7/5
The disagreements on changed stages of demographic transition and the role of a demographic dividend in a dual economy development process often lead to wide debates among scholars about China's devel...
Will HIV/AIDS Levels in Asia Reach the Level of Sub-Saharan Africa? (View Point)
HIV/AIDS Levels Asia Reach Sub-Saharan Africa
2009/3/27
Major reasons that Asia is unlikely to experience
African-level HIV/AIDS epidemics is that there is an ancient concept of
nationhood and class societies with elites willing to undertake national
le...
Are the Goals Set by the Millennium Declaration and the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development within Reach by 2015? (Vie Point)
Population Development 2015
2009/3/26
The risk now is that the benefits of development are increasingly favouring the well-to-do, leading to deepening inequality. Development is for everyone as the Millennium Declaration, makes very clear...
Approaching a Triumphal Span: How Far Is China Towards its Lewisian Turning Point?
demographic dividend Lewisian turning point economic development,China
2013/7/5
With the aid of an analytical framework of the Lewis model revised to reflect the experience of China, this paper examines the country’s dualistic economic development and its unique characteristics. ...