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This paper is part of a broader research project on the economic impact of the Mexican Revolution. In this article we make an initial approximation of the effect of the Revolution on the lifespan of c...
Indonesia seems perpetually condemned to “live in interesting times,” as the famous Chinese curse goes. The past decade has seen the country attract global notoriety as a land of recurrent economic sh...
This paper considers the estimation of approximate dynamic factor models when there is temporal instability in the factor loadings. We characterize the type and magnitude of instabilities under which ...
We study the emergence of instabilities in a stylized model of a nancial market, when di erent market actors calculate prices according to di erent (local) market measures. We derive typical propert...
This paper investigates arbitrage chains involving d currencies and d foreign exchange trader-arbitrageurs. The commonly recognized belief in economics and finance is that arbitrage has the effect of ...
In this article the author presents an argument to show that central banks have a destabilizing effect on economies rather than the traditional view that they have a stabilizing capacity. The article ...
The object of this work is to evaluate the monetary policy issues that arose during the financial crisis of 2007-8 according to Minsky's thought. It is argued that Minsky's idea of structural instabil...
In recent years as part of development economics discourse a new emphasis has emerged dealing with institutions and economic development. One path of the institutional analysis has drawn on historic...
I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption.This exercise shows that, even...
Through a long-period analysis of the inter-temporal relations between the French markets for credit default swaps (CDS), shares and bonds between 2001 and 2008, this article shows how a financial inn...
Ping Chen, "Market Instability and Economic Complexity: Theoretical Lessons from Transition Experiments," in Yang Yao and Linda Yueh eds., Globalisation and Economic Growth in China, Chapter 3,pp.35-5...
An experiment is performed to assess the prevalence of instability in univariate and bivariate macroeconomic time series relations and to ascertain whether various adaptive forecasting t...

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